Middleton Point Surf Forecast

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
Australia/Adelaide
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260430 12z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260430 12z)
Vandaag do 30/04 tot Morgen vr 01/05
Geen surfvensters (2 dagen)
Ontgrendel 3 extra dagen in de tijdlijn
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Middleton Point Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
ZO - ZW
(Beste uit ZW)
Swell hoogte
2ft - 8ft
Swell breekt over
Oneven Rif, Zand
Golftypes
Point
Golfrichtingen
Rechts
Wind venster
N - N
(Offshore uit N)
Werkende getijden
Mid, Hoog
Niveau
Beginner

Middleton Point Surf Forecast Gids

Middleton Point is a surf spot located on the south coast of the Fleurieu Peninsula. It’s known for its easy access and relatively mellow conditions. This place can be a decent option for surfers looking to have a fun time, especially for those who are new to the sport or improving their skills. With a laid-back vibe, it attracts a range of surfers, making it a good spot to meet fellow wave riders.

The surf here works best with a southwest swell, although it can also pick up waves from the southeast. The spot handles swell sizes from around 2ft (0.6 meters) and typically features right-point waves that break over uneven reef and sand. When the north winds are blowing, conditions can be more favorable. It’s worth noting that while many surfers enjoy this spot, it tends to be on the softer side, which might not appeal to everyone. Even with a bunch of surfers out, there is usually enough room to catch a wave, and it can work even better on onshore days when the waves crumble and reform as they roll towards the beach. However, if you’re paddling out, be ready for a workout, as the consistent swell can make it a bit of a challenge.

For beginners, this is a friendly spot where you can feel comfortable catching waves. The preferable tide heights are around mid to high, so keep that in mind when planning your session. Staying in Middleton is a practical option since there are several surf spots within a short distance, allowing for quick checks on the conditions. Plus, the area offers good opportunities for kite-surfing along Middleton Beach, which can sometimes surprise you with some fun barrels on better days.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.