North Channel - Kenya Surf Forecast

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
Africa/Nairobi
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260315 23z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260315 23z)
zo 15/03 tot Vandaag ma 16/03
Geen surfvensters (2 dagen)
Ontgrendel 3 extra dagen in de tijdlijn
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Golfopbouw

Swell 1Swell 2Swell 3Wind waves

North Channel - Kenya Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
NO - ZO
(Beste uit O)
Swell hoogte
2ft - 6ft
Swell breekt over
Dood Koraal
Golftypes
Riff
Golfrichtingen
Links
Wind venster
NW - NW
(Offshore uit NW)
Werkende getijden
Laag, Mid, Hoog
Niveau
Gevorderde

North Channel - Kenya Surf Forecast Gids

North Channel in Kenya is a surf spot located past the Nyali bridge, just outside the shallow reef often referred to as Leven Reef. This area offers a blend of accessibility and fun waves, making it a decent choice for surfers looking to catch some rides in a less crowded environment compared to other spots in the region. The beach is also near the Mamba Crocodile Village and Marineland Snake Park if you’re interested in checking out local attractions.

The waves here mostly break to the left and work well with an east swell direction, particularly from the NorthEast and SouthEast. When you hit the right conditions, you can find swells from 0.6 meters (2 ft) up to a comfortable range for surfing. The break occurs over dead coral, which gives it a unique texture. It’s usually best to surf when the tide is low, mid, or high, but keep an eye on the wind — northwesterly winds will give you the best experience. This spot suits intermediate surfers best since the conditions can be a bit tricky at times.

If you're into kitesurfing, the area also has a natural lagoon 2 km offshore that's perfect for that sport, especially with Prosurf Kite. So, whether you're surfing or kiting, North Channel offers a versatile spot for a day on the water.

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Delen

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.