North Point – Lake Michigan Surf Forecast

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
America/Chicago
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260603 13z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260603 00z)
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Morgen wo 03/06 tot do 04/06
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North Point – Lake Michigan Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
N - ZO
(Beste uit NO)
Swell hoogte
3ft - 10ft
Swell breekt over
Rots Riggel
Golftypes
Riff
Golfrichtingen
Links
Wind venster
O - O
(Offshore uit O)
Werkende getijden
Laag, Mid, Hoog

North Point – Lake Michigan Surf Forecast Gids

North Point on Lake Michigan is a popular surf spot located near Sheboygan, known for its energetic wave action. This place attracts surfers looking for a challenge, especially since it's part of an area that has over 70 potential surf spots. It’s a spot that really starts to pop when the conditions are just right, particularly during the fall when swells are consistent. With its raw power, North Point is not a place for beginners; the waves can be intense and the crowds can get busy when it’s working.

The surf here is mainly shaped by northeast swells, with the best action coming from north and southeast directions. It’s great at handling swell sizes around 3 feet (about 1 meter) and offers left-breaking waves that can pack quite a punch. You’ll find it breaking over a rocky ledge, which contributes to the quality of the waves but also makes it more dangerous. If you're planning a session, east winds are preferable, and you can expect good conditions during low, mid, and even high tide.

Known locally as “The Sheboygan pipeline,” North Point serves up some solid reef breaks that can challenge even experienced surfers. If you’re in the area, it’s a must-visit spot for those looking to catch some powerful lefts. Just be aware of the crowd and the rocky bottom, and you’ll have a good time navigating the waves here.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.