Rosarito Beach Surf Forecast

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
America/Tijuana
Forecast bijgewerkt:
14/06, 17:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260615 00z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260615 00z)
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Golfopbouw

Swell 1Swell 2Swell 3Wind waves

Rosarito Beach Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
Z - NW
Swell hoogte
5ft - 8ft
Swell breekt over
Zand
Golftypes
Strand, Pier
Golfrichtingen
Rechts, Links
Wind venster
NNO - OZO
Werkende getijden
Mid
(Beste met Mid, Beter met opkomend)
Beste getij
Mid
Niveau
Beginner, Gevorderde, Expert
Seizoenen
Lente, Zomer, Herfst, Winter
Boardtypes
Shortboard, Funboard, Longboard, Fish, Bodyboard, Skimming, Bodysurfing, Kiteboard

Rosarito Beach Surf Forecast Gids

Rosarito Beach, located just south of the US-Mexico border, has a rich history as a party destination and a surfing spot. Once a vibrant haven for younger crowds, it has seen its share of ups and downs over the years. Nowadays, it’s steadily bouncing back from past troubles, and visitors are slowly returning to enjoy the beach and waves. The beach is easily accessible, with multiple parking areas, making it convenient for surfers looking to hit the water.

The surf at Rosarito Beach isn’t the most consistent, especially when you compare it to other spots up and down Northern Baja. The waves primarily break over sandy bottoms, with a mix of beach breaks as well as some decent spots near the pier. The swell can handle sizes ranging from 5 to 8 feet (1.5 to 2.4 meters) with optimal conditions during mid-tide. Surfable swells come from various directions, including South, South-Southwest, Southwest, and Northeast, so keep an eye on the wind for the best experiences. You can catch right and lefts here, making it suitable for surfers of all levels—from beginners to experts. Options like shortboards, funboards, longboards, and even bodyboards will work well depending on your preference.

If you’re looking for a quick surf session after a night out or just want to escape the hustle, Rosarito can provide some rideable waves. It's not the best spot around, but the surroundings are lively, and you might even find some good sandbars where rivers meet the ocean. Just be mindful of the crowd factor, as some local surfers can be a bit aggro, but generally, the lineup is spread out enough for everyone to enjoy. Be sure to check it out if you're in the area, especially during spring and summer for the best conditions!

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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