Little Malibu
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Friday 07
Saturday 08
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Tuesday 11
Wednesday 12
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Puerto_Rico
Wind: GFS (20251107 00z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251107 00z)

Little Malibu surf guide

Tucked into a bay, Little Malibu is a surf spot that attracts plenty of action, especially when the conditions are right. Known for its fast, right-hand waves, it can sometimes be crowded due to the local bodyboarders who frequent the area. It’s worth noting that this spot is different from its namesake, Malibu, being much more hollow and lively, which can be appealing to experienced surfers. However, the crowd factor can be a challenge, particularly when the surf is firing.

The waves at Little Malibu tend to be on the smaller side, usually running from about chest high (approximately 1.2 meters) to overhead (around 2.4 meters). It breaks primarily on a shallow coral reef that can be hazardous, as coral heads stick up in the faces of some waves. When conditions align, though, such as a northwest swell and northeast to east winds, you can get some fun rides here. The optimal swell direction is northwest, and it handles swell sizes from 4 ft to 8 ft (1.2 m to 2.4 m). The best time to catch Little Malibu is during mid to high tides, although it’s known to be inconsistent and can require some patience to get the good ones.

It’s important to keep in mind that this spot is popular among expert surfers, so if you’re not comfortable navigating through a busy lineup, you might find it challenging. Spring and autumn offer the best conditions, especially for tropical cyclone swells. For board types, shortboards and bodyboards are the way to go here. If you’re planning a trip, be ready for some get-up-and-go maneuvering to snag your wave amid a lineup of locals.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Little Malibu

Indicators
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break, Point break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
The Point
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break, Point break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Maria's
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Tres Palmas
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Little Malibu
Rincon, Puerto Rico
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

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Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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