Salmon Creek
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
⏱️s.
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Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Sunday 21
Monday 22
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Salmon Creek surf guide

Salmon Creek is a well-known surf spot in the county, often drawing a good number of surfers looking for powerful beachbreaks. This spot offers waves that can really challenge your skills, resembling the expanse and consistency of San Francisco's Ocean Beach. Getting out beyond the break can be tough, but with some luck, you might spot a natural paddling channel when the conditions are right. Salmon Creek can handle solid swells, sometimes getting up to 10-12 feet (3-4 meters) at Buoy 13, though that doesn’t guarantee an easy paddle out.

The surf at Salmon Creek is primarily a beach break with waves coming in from the south, north, and occasionally from the west and northwest. The waves can range from about 4 to 10 feet (1.2 to 3 meters) and generally break to the left and right. The best times to surf are during high tide, but it can also work during low and mid tide. It's a spot more suited for intermediate and expert surfers because of the heavy waves and notorious currents. If you're used to riding challenging beachbreaks, this is a place you'll appreciate.

Accessing Salmon Creek is pretty simple. You can take Bean Avenue off Highway 1 all the way to the end, or go to the North Salmon Creek Beach parking lot, located just a mile north of Bodega Bay. Once you’re down on the beach, there are often less crowded peaks if you’re up for a little walk. The atmosphere here is mostly friendly, although you might meet some grumpy fishermen or divers from time to time. There have been some shark sightings in the area, so just be aware of your surroundings.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Salmon Creek

Dillon Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Dillon Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Shark Pit - Marin
California, United States
Rivermouth break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Doran Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Salmon Creek
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Goat Rock
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Russian Rivermouth
California, United States
Rivermouth break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mystos
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
The Fort
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Timber Cove
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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