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Surf forecast for Lugar de Baixo

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Atlantic/Madeira
Forecast updated:
23/06, 19:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260623 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260623 18z)
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Timeline

Today Wed 24/06 to Tomorrow Thu 25/06
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Lugar de Baixo Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Lugar de Baixo is a right-hand point breaking over boulders. It used to be a standout high-tide barrel, but the seawall has severely reduced its quality. The wave can still be excellent, with very steep drops and fast, hollow sections.

The take-off zone sits next to, or just inside, a large rock on the outside.

When It Works

The spot works on swell from south through west-southwest to northwest, with west as the optimal direction. It is usable from 1.2 m / 4 ft to 4.6 m / 15 ft.

It is somewhat inconsistent, so timing matters.

Wind and Tide

The offshore wind is north.

Mid tide and high tide are the main windows, and a rising tide is better. It can still get good about an hour before or after high tide, but high tide now brings strong backwash. Low tide is dangerously shallow.

Local Tips

This is an experts-only wave. It can be crowded, especially on weekends, partly because it is close to Funchal.

Access

Lugar de Baixo is on the main road along the south shore of the island. Heading west, the wave is visible as soon as you leave the tunnel and enter the village.

There is free roadside parking.

Surf spots near Lugar de Baixo

Jardim do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Madalena do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Reef break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
São Vicente
Madeira, Portugal
Reef break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Lugar de Baixo
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Cabo Girão
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Lugar de Baixo?

Lugar de Baixo is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally west (W) around 1.2 m / 4 ft to 4.6 m / 15 ft, north (N) offshore wind, and mid to high tide.

Where is the surf spot Lugar de Baixo?

Lugar de Baixo is a surf spot in Ribeira Brava, Madeira, Portugal.

What is the surf break like at Lugar de Baixo?

Lugar de Baixo is a right point break over boulders. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Lugar de Baixo suitable for?

Lugar de Baixo can suit expert surfers.

Is Lugar de Baixo beginner friendly for surfing?

Lugar de Baixo is better suited to expert surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Lugar de Baixo?

Surf consistency at Lugar de Baixo is more variable.

Is there parking for surfing at Lugar de Baixo?

Parking around Lugar de Baixo: free parking and roadside parking.

What surf spots are near Lugar de Baixo?

Other nearby surf spots are Cabo Girão, Madalena do Mar, São Vicente, and Jardim do Mar.

What swell direction works for surfing at Lugar de Baixo?

Lugar de Baixo can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); west (W) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Lugar de Baixo?

Lugar de Baixo usually works with swell around 1.2 m / 4 ft to 4.6 m / 15 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Lugar de Baixo?

North (N) offshore wind is usually best at Lugar de Baixo.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Lugar de Baixo?

North (N) is offshore at Lugar de Baixo.

What tide works best for surfing at Lugar de Baixo?

Lugar de Baixo works best around mid to high tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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