Jardim do Mar
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Friday 12
Saturday 13
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Timezone:
Atlantic/Madeira
Wind: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251212 22z)
Waves: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251212 22z)
Surfnerd for iOS: Faster loading, smoother experience.
Download on the App Store

Jardim do Mar surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
W - N
(Best from NW)
Swell size
6ft - 30ft
Swell breaks over
Boulders
Wave types
Point
Wave directions
Right
Wind window
N - N
(Offshore from N)
Works at
Low
(Best at Low, Better on rising)
Best tide type
Low
Skill Level
Expert

Jardim do Mar surf forecast guide

Jardim do Mar is a well-known surf spot located on the south shore of Madeira. This place has a rich surf history and was once labeled the best big-wave pointbreak in the world. It's a beautiful coastal village that offers surfers a chance to ride some challenging waves. However, it's essential to know that conditions can change, and this place is not for beginners.

The break mainly works best with a Northwest swell coming in, along with additional swells from the West and North. Jardim do Mar has the capability to handle swell sizes up to about 6 feet (approximately 1.8 meters). The waves come in as primarily right-hand point breaks, which can lead to long, fast, and powerful rides. The ideal time to hit the water is during low tide when the waves tend to be more favorable. Be prepared, as the spot is suited for experts only, with the waves breaking over boulders, making it vital to have experience and skill.

Getting into the water can be tricky, especially on bigger days, and the seawall built in 2003 has changed how the waves break, pushing them closer to shore. It's generally a good idea to paddle out from the backside of the point, which is to the west of the village. Keep an eye on the wind, as north winds are preferable for the best conditions.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Jardim do Mar

Faja da Ovelha
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Ponta Paul
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Paul do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Reef break
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Ponta Pequena
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Jardim do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Join Surfnerd for free
  • Save favorite spots
  • Set home spot
  • Log surf sessions
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Share
Surfnerd Logo
Serious tools for serious surf forecasting
Get 15-day forecasts, deeper swell data, real wave-power insights, and every model unlocked. Everything you need to call your next surf session.
  • 15-day
    forecast range
    (vs 5-day)
  • Shows
    wave energy
    (real power!)
  • Full
    swell breakdown
    (secondary and tertiary)
  • Access all
    models
    (vs only UNIFIED)
  • Shows
    confidence
    scores
    (more trust)
  • Compare
    models
    (more data)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
Cancel anytime. Automatically renewed until cancelled
By purchasing the product, you accept the Terms of Use & acknowledge the Privacy policy.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"