Mill Bay Surf Forecast

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
America/Anchorage
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260412 23z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260412 23z)
Morgen zo 12/04 tot ma 13/04
Geen surfvensters (2 dagen)
Ontgrendel 3 extra dagen in de tijdlijn
Hieronder volgen meer surfvensters en dagitems
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Golfopbouw

Swell 1Swell 2Swell 3Wind waves

Mill Bay Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
NO - O
(Beste uit NO)
Swell hoogte
1ft - 8ft
Swell breekt over
Oneven Rif, Zand
Golftypes
Strand
Golfrichtingen
Links, Rechts
Wind venster
ZW - ZW
(Offshore uit ZW)
Werkende getijden
Laag, Mid, Hoog
Niveau
Gevorderde

Mill Bay Surf Forecast Gids

Mill Bay is a surf spot located near Kodiak City, well-known among locals but not exactly a prime destination for surfers looking for top-notch waves. It features a mix of reef and sand breaks, but overall, it's often considered just an average spot. The beach is pretty mellow, making it accessible for many surfers, though it might not have the excitement that comes from more iconic locations.

The optimal swell direction for Mill Bay is Northeast, which can be a bit rare. It can handle swell sizes starting from 1 ft (0.3 m) and works best with left and right waves. Given its uneven reef and sandy bottom, you'll find a variety of wave types, but the overall consistency can be hit or miss. The best wind direction is from the Southwest, and you can surf during low, mid, or high tide. Because of the conditions, it's recommended for intermediate surfers who can handle a few variations in the surf.

While Mill Bay itself can be pretty average for surfing, don’t forget that there are better, more consistent rights just off Spruce Cape near the headland. If you find the waves here aren’t shaping up as you’d hoped, it might be worth checking out that area for improved conditions.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"