Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
Asia/Jakarta
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260407 05z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260407 05z)
Vandaag di 07/04
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Golfopbouw

Swell 1Swell 2Swell 3Wind waves

Promises Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
Z - W
(Beste uit ZW)
Swell hoogte
4ft - 12ft
Swell breekt over
Levend Koraal
Golftypes
Riff
Golfrichtingen
Rechts
Wind venster
NW - NW
(Offshore uit NW)
Werkende getijden
Mid, Hoog
Niveau
Expert

Promises Surf Forecast Gids

Promises is a surf spot located off an isolated small island past Burgerworld. It’s not a well-known destination, which means it’s usually not packed with surfers. That said, what you’ll find here is a fast, hollow right tube that can provide some exhilarating rides for those who are up for it. It’s a place where you might get a bit of solitude while you’re out in the waves.

The surf typically handles sizes around 4 ft (1.2 m) and gets its best performance with swells coming from the South and West, with an optimal swell direction from the SouthWest. The waves break over live coral, and surfers can expect right-handers that offer powerful tube sections. When the wind blows from the NorthWest and the tide is at mid to high levels, that's when you’ll find the conditions a bit more favorable. Just keep in mind that this spot is best suited for expert surfers, given its speed and challenges.

It's important to be aware of the environment; the area supports a diverse marine ecosystem with vibrant coral. While you’re out there surfing, you might want to keep an eye out for marine life. Just be prepared for the fast barrel, as it can catch you off guard if you’re not ready.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"