Asbury Park
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/New_York
Wind: GFS (20251109 18z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251109 18z)

Asbury Park surf guide

Asbury Park is a popular surf spot located along the New Jersey coast. It's known for its somewhat average beach breaks that can surprise surfers with decent waves, especially during hurricane season and nor'easters. Despite not being the go-to destination compared to some nearby towns, it's a place where you can find fun surf on the right day. Access to the beach has improved, but remember to grab a beach badge during the busy summer months if you're surfing then.

The surf at Asbury Park can range from waist high (about 1 meter) to well overhead (up to 2.5 meters). It typically handles swells from 1 meter to 2.4 meters, particularly well from the southeast and south directions. The waves tend to break over a sandy bottom, offering both lefts and rights, which is great for various board types like shortboards, fish, funboards, longboards, and even bodyboards. For the best conditions, the ideal wind is usually from the southwest to northwest, and surfing is often better during lower to mid tides. Generally, it's beginner-friendly, but it can hold its own for more experienced surfers when the swell picks up.

In terms of crowds, Asbury Park has a middle-of-the-road vibe compared to other spots in Monmouth County. Most surfers here are pretty chill, but there can be some local attitude at certain breaks. Hazards like shallow areas, rip currents, and summer tourists do come into play, so it's good to stay aware while you surf. The prime surf season usually runs from September through March, with autumn and winter being particularly good times to catch some waves.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Asbury Park

'L' Jetty
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Bradley Beach
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Asbury Park
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
Loch Arbour and Deal
New Jersey, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
The Wedge (Allenhurst)
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Thu 20
Fri 21
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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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