Asilomar State Beach
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
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Monday 25
Tuesday 26
Wednesday 27
Thursday 28
Friday 29
Saturday 30
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Asilomar State Beach surf guide

Asilomar State Beach is a beautiful sandy stretch located in North Central California. The beach offers crystal-clear water and is open to a variety of swell directions. Surfers can expect consistent waves year-round, with surfable conditions ranging from a manageable 2 feet (0.6 meters) to powerful overhead sets reaching up to 10 feet (3 meters). The beach is flanked by two headlands, providing a picturesque setting and a few different take-off spots for surfers to choose from.

There are three main surf spots at Asilomar: Roadsides, Middles, and the Reef. Roadsides is a right-hander at the north end that starts close in before moving out with size. Middles provides a peak in the middle of the beach, while the Reef on the south end features a left that can hold up to around 8 feet (2.4 meters) and offers a bowling right for the experienced. The best time to surf the beachbreak is during medium to high tide, while the reefs work better at low tide. The optimal swell direction is Northwest, but it can handle swells from North and South as well. Surfing here is suited for all abilities, from beginners to expert surfers.

Access to the beach is pretty easy, with plenty of parking available along the road. Though it can get crowded, there's often plenty of space to find your own spot. Just be aware that the vibe can be a bit tense when the waves are good, as locals are protective of their territory. Overall, Asilomar State Beach offers a solid mix of surf options for those willing to paddle out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Asilomar State Beach

Marina State Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Del Monte Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Lovers Point
California, United States
Point break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Boneyard
California, United States
Reef break, Point break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Asilomar State Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Spanish Bay
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Spanish Bay โ€“ Cobblestones
California, United States
Unknown break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Carmel Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Spanish Bay โ€“ South Moss
California, United States
Unknown break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Mole Point
California, United States
Reef break
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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