Mole Point
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Wednesday 29
Thursday 30
Friday 31
Saturday 01
Sunday 02
Monday 03
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles

Mole Point surf guide

Mole Point is a surf spot located on the south side of Point Joe, where you can often see surfers in the background while people are teeing off at Pebble Beach. It's a kelpy right reef with a solid vibe and offers a unique surfing experience. The wave can get juicy, maxing out at around 8 feet (about 2.4 meters), making it suitable for those looking to catch some decent action.

The surf here works best with swells coming from the South, South-West, West, and even North-West, and it can handle sizes ranging from about 3 feet (0.9 meters) to 8 feet (2.4 meters). The wave breaks over both rock and sand, with a right-hand wave direction that caters to intermediate and expert surfers. For the best conditions, aim for medium to high tides and a wind blowing from the East, East-South-East, or South-East. Itโ€™s recommended to use shortboards, funboards, or guns depending on your skill level and the wave height.

Getting to Mole Point is pretty easy with parking available along the road. Just keep in mind that it can get crowded in the tight area, especially during peak times. The local vibe is noticeable, so be respectful of the surfers who often call this spot home. Overall, itโ€™s a clean environment, but be cautious of hazards like bad slices, rocks, and kelp that can catch you off guard. This spot is surfable year-round and tends to be more favorable during the spring, summer, and autumn months.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Mole Point

Marina State Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Del Monte Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Lovers Point
California, United States
Point break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Boneyard
California, United States
Reef break, Point break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Asilomar State Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Spanish Bay
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Spanish Bay โ€“ Cobblestones
California, United States
Unknown break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Carmel Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Spanish Bay โ€“ South Moss
California, United States
Unknown break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mole Point
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+
Help keep Surfnerd independent and ad-free while we build the future of surf forecasting.
What you get today:
  • Surfnerd
    intelligent
    forecast
    (high accuracy!)
  • Shows
    confidence
    scores
    (more trust)
  • Compare
    models
    (more data)
  • Access all
    models
    (vs GFS only)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 6-day)
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
By purchasing the product, you accept the Terms of Use & acknowledge the Privacy policy.
Share
Join Surfnerd for free
  • Save favorite spots
  • Set home spot
  • Log surf sessions
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Surfnerd for iOS: Faster loading, smoother experience.
Download on the App Store