Big Rock
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
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Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
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Big Rock surf guide

Big Rock is a surf spot located off a small headland, giving it a unique vibe. It's best known for its fun little reef break, which works primarily on southwest swells. While not the most popular spot, it can be a nice getaway for surfers looking for something different. Big Rock is usually rideable when the waves are up to about 2 feet (0.6 meters) overhead. The public access is easy to find โ€” just follow the blue-and-white trash cans about 2 miles south of the Las Flores Canyon Road/PCH intersection.

The surf here mainly favors the south and west swell directions, making the most of those southwest swells. You can expect breaks over boulders and sand, offering waves that peel both to the left and right. The most favorable wind comes from the north, so plan your sessions accordingly. For the best conditions, aim for mid to high tide, as lower tides can create less favorable situations. Big Rock is a suitable spot for beginners, especially when the waves are smaller โ€” around 2 feet (0.6 meters) is manageable for less experienced surfers.

Keep in mind that during high tide, backwash can affect the ride, so timing is key. There are also a few rock hazards to be aware of, so always surf with caution. Overall, Big Rock is a summer wave that doesnโ€™t see a lot of traffic, making it a good choice when other spots are crowded.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Big Rock

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Beach break
Mon 15
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Beach break
Mon 15
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Mon 15
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Wed 17
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Sun 21
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Unknown break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
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Sunset Boulevard
California, United States
Point break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
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Fri 26
Chart House Rights
California, United States
Point break
Mon 15
Tue 16
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Sun 21
Mon 22
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Topanga State Beach
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Point break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
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Big Rock
California, United States
Reef break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Malibu โ€“ First Point
California, United States
Point break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Malibu Third Point
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Point break
Mon 15
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Sun 21
Mon 22
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Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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