Cape Lookout National Seashore
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/New_York
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Wednesday 27
Thursday 28
Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
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Cape Lookout National Seashore surf guide

Cape Lookout National Seashore is located in the second part of North Carolina's Outer Banks. The coastline runs south from Ocracoke, turning sharply west at Beaufort Inlet. This creates a stunning natural setting that stretches 58 miles from Portsmouth Island down to Cape Lookout Point. It’s the most isolated section of North Carolina's barrier islands, and much of it remains undeveloped, thanks to the National Park Service's plans to keep it in its natural state. This means that if you're looking for some quiet surf sessions, this spot can offer that. Just keep in mind that reaching the surf requires a boat or ferry, which adds to the adventure.

The surf here can be pretty solid when conditions align. You can catch waves ranging from head high to overhead+ (about 1.2 to 2.4 meters) during the right swells, with suitable directions from the South, Southeast, East, and maybe even some East-Northeast. The beach breaks can send waves either right or left, making it fun for all skill levels, from beginners to experts. The bottom is mostly sandy, which is nice, but be prepared for paddling that can feel like a workout depending on the swell direction. For the best results, aim for low to mid tide when the wind is coming from the southwest or west.

As for the local vibe, you'll notice that there's plenty of room to spread out, giving you space to enjoy the waves without feeling crowded. The area is mellow, making it a nice escape from busier spots. The surfing season is mainly storm-dependent, with tropical cyclones hitting in late summer and fall while frontal systems come through from late fall into spring. Whether you’re on a shortboard, fish, funboard, longboard, or even kiting or bodysurfing, Cape Lookout is a great choice if you’re willing to put in the effort to get there.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Cape Lookout National Seashore

Topsail Beach
North Carolina, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Topsail Island
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
The Point
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Bogue Pier
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Iron Steamer
North Carolina, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Triple S Pier
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Cape Lookout National Seashore
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Ocracoke
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Frisco
North Carolina, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Frisco Pier
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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