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Surf forecast for Castelo

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Europe/Lisbon
Forecast updated:
19/06, 13:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260618 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260618 18z)
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Timeline

Today Fri 19/06 to Tomorrow Sat 20/06
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Castelo Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Castelo is a long, dune-backed beach in a huge sandy bay, with shifting left and right peaks over sand. The banks tend to move around, and it is often most consistent near walkways or cut-throughs in the dunes where offshore winds help sand build up.

It can be excellent on small to medium days, with fun walls, but it may close out when the size picks up.

When It Works

Castelo is usable from 0.9 m / 3 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft. Swell from west-southwest to west suits it, with northwest, west, and southwest also noted as working directions.

The best season is September to May, covering autumn, winter, and spring.

Wind and Tide

The workable wind window is north-northeast to east, with northeast offshore. All tides can work, and a rising tide is better.

Local Tips

There is plenty of room to spread out, and the vibe is generally chilled, though the lineup can feel somewhat reserved. It suits beginners through experts, depending on conditions.

Board options are broad: shortboard, funboard, longboard, fish, SUP, and bodyboard can all fit here.

Paddling is easy when small, but channels can be lacking as the size picks up. Be aware of rips when it is big.

Access

There is a car park behind the café. The environment is better than the northern beaches, but still not great.

Surf spots near Castelo

Costa Caparica
Setubal, Portugal
Unknown break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Costa da Caparica
Setubal, Portugal
Beach break, Jetty break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Castelo
Setubal, Portugal
Beach break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Praia da Saude
Setubal, Portugal
Unknown break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Praia da Cornelia
Setubal, Portugal
Unknown break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Castelo?

Castelo is usually best with west-southwest to west (WSW-W) swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, wind from north-northeast to east (NNE-E), with northeast (NE) offshore, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Castelo?

Castelo is a surf spot in Costa da Caparica, Setubal, Portugal.

What is the surf break like at Castelo?

Castelo is a right-and-left beach break over sand. Expect a fairly quiet crowd and a somewhat reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Castelo?

The main surf season at Castelo is autumn, winter, and spring.

What surfing skill level is Castelo suitable for?

Castelo can suit beginner, intermediate, and expert surfers.

Is Castelo beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Castelo can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Castelo?

Shortboard, Funboard, Longboard, Fish, Sup, and Bodyboard are common choices at Castelo.

What surf spots are near Castelo?

Other nearby surf spots are Costa da Caparica, Praia da Saude, Costa Caparica, and Praia da Cornelia.

What swell direction works for surfing at Castelo?

Castelo can work with swell from west-southwest to west (WSW-W).

What swell size works for surfing at Castelo?

Castelo usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Castelo?

Castelo usually works with wind from north-northeast to east (NNE-E); northeast (NE) is offshore.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Castelo?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Castelo.

What tide works best for surfing at Castelo?

Castelo can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.