Costa Banderas
Pull to refresh
Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Bahia_Banderas
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
🔮
🌒
Saturday 6
Sunday 7
Monday 1
Tuesday 2
Wednesday 3
Thursday 4
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
This forecast is 3 hrs behind.
to get real-time data.
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd for free to check this forecast
Join Surfnerd to check forecasts, set your homespot, save and create spots and log your surf sessions.
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google

Costa Banderas surf guide

Costa Banderas is a surf spot located along the Bahia de Banderas, which is Mexico's largest bay. This area features about 9.5 kilometers (6 miles) of coastline that showcases a variety of surf breaks ideal for different skill levels. The region is known for its scenic views and relaxed vibe, making it a nice place to enjoy a day of surfing, whether you're a local or just visiting.

The surf here is mostly suited for intermediate surfers, as it handles swell sizes starting at 2 feet (0.6 meters) and can go up to larger sizes. The best waves break over some uneven reefs, mostly producing right-hand point breaks. The optimal swell direction is from the southwest, but it can also handle northwest swells. Because the winds generally blow from the north, this enhances the surfing conditions, and you can catch good waves at low, mid, or high tide.

While many of the spots require boat access, Destiladeras is accessible by land, making it a convenient option. Other notable spots like La Lancha, Punta Burro, and the Pools also offer solid waves when conditions align. Keep an eye on Puerto Vallarta, as it can occasionally get decent action, especially on bigger days at places like El Tizate and the Holiday Inn area.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Costa Banderas

San Pancho
Nayarit, Mexico
Point break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Ostiones
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Punta Sayulita
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Costa Banderas
Nayarit, Mexico
Point break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Punta Burros
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
La Lancha
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break, Point break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Punta Mita
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
The Cove - Nayarit
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
El Faro
Nayarit, Mexico
Point break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Islas Marietas
Nayarit, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 16
Sun 17
Mon 18
Tue 19
Wed 20
Thu 21
Fri 22
Sat 23
Sun 24
Mon 25
Tue 26
Wed 27
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+ and get:
  • Always fresh
    forecasts
    (vs 3-hour delay)
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 6-day)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
  • Unlimited
    spot checks
    (vs 3/day)
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
Login to do spot actions
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

On the map, click a metric label to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"