Evans Head
Hourly
Confidence
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Timezone: Australia/Sydney
Wind: GFS (20251030 18z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251030 18z)

Evans Head surf guide

Evans Head is a small surf spot located just off the Pacific Highway. Itโ€™s often missed by travelers since it requires a little detour. The breakwall at the river mouth has its good days, offering some right-hand waves that are protected from the South winds. However, it generally doesnโ€™t have the same power and shape as spots like Ballina 'Walls'. You might want to check out Chinamans on the back beach for potentially better waves. Thereโ€™s also a rare right point break at Snapper Rocks nearby, which can be worth a look. The headland was spotted by Captain Cook, after which it was named, and it features a left break in certain conditions that surfers can catch before it stretches down the coast for about 30 kilometers to Woody Head and Yamba.

The surf in Evans Head is best with southeast swells, but it can handle northeast and southeast swells too. You can find manageable waves starting from around 1ft (0.3 meters). The waves generally break over sand, making it a great spot for beginners looking to improve their skills. Right-handers are common here, with the best wind coming from the southwest. If youโ€™re planning to catch some waves, low, mid, and high tides can all work, so you have some flexibility with timing.

In summer, this spot gets pretty crowded as the local population swells with holiday-makers. The flags can take the prime peak nearest to the wall, leaving groups scattered along the beach. Keep in mind that the area can be sharky, especially around Snapper Rocks, where there have been sightings of larger sharks. Always be aware of your surroundings while enjoying the surf.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Evans Head

Lennox Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Flat Rock Ballina
New South Wales, Australia
Reef break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Ballina North Wall
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Ballina South Wall
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Evans Head
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
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Tue 11
Woody Head
New South Wales, Australia
Reef break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
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Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Iluka North Wall
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
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Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Turners Wall
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
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Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
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Tue 11
Pippies
New South Wales, Australia
Beach break
Fri 31
Sat 1
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Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
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Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Spookies
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 31
Sat 1
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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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