Exmouth
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/London
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Exmouth surf guide

Exmouth is a popular surf spot located on Marine Drive. When the conditions are right, especially during December to February, you'll find some fun waves rolling in. The place can get pretty packed, especially when a big southwesterly or westerly swell hits. Just be aware that it can get crowded when word gets out, and the vibe tends to be busy.

The surf here works best with swell sizes from around 2ft (0.6m) to 8ft (2.4m), mainly coming from the SouthWest and WestSouthWest directions. It features both lefts and rights, but many surfers favor the lefts here. The bottom consists of sand with groynes, which can affect how the waves break. For the best experience, you’ll want to hit this spot during low to mid tide, with the ideal wind directions being from the NorthEast. You'll find waves suitable for a variety of board types, including shortboards, fish, funboards, longboards, SUPs, and bodyboards. The conditions can be a bit fickle and often demand some paddling, especially if the surf is bigger.

Access to the spot is easy with parking available along Marine Drive. Just keep an eye out for other surfers and potential hazards like bailed boards and groynes, as the crowd can include everything from foils to inflatable SUPs. It’s a bit of a mixed bag regarding the local vibe, with both experienced surfers and newcomers sharing the waves.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Exmouth

Challaborough
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
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Bantham
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Beach break
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Bantham
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
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Teignmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Pier break, Jetty break
Sat 13
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Paignton
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Pier break
Sat 13
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Exmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
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Torbay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
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Sidmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Jetty break
Sat 13
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Lyme Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Lyme Regis
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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