Flagship
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Chicago
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Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
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Flagship surf guide

Flagship is a surf spot located at the end of 25th Street on Galveston Island, taking its name from the now-defunct Flagship Hotel. This area has been transformed into the Galveston Island Historic Pleasure Pier after the hotel was heavily damaged by Hurricane Ike in 2008. Flagship is known for its stable sandbars near the pier and adjacent jetties, making it a popular destination for surfers seeking consistent waves, especially those who ride longboards. However, it can get crowded with surfers coming from nearby cities like Austin, Dallas, and Houston, which often makes the line-up quite busy.

The surf here can range from mediocre to good, producing waves that generally work best with a southeast swell. You can expect wave heights from about 0.3 meters (1 ft) to 2.1 meters (7 ft), primarily breaking over sand. The waves can form nice bowl sections on both sides of the pier, with a mix of rights and soft left runners down the beach depending on the swell angle. Ideal conditions are when the wind is blowing from the northwest, and it works well at low, medium, and high tides. While it's possible to shortboard here, Flagship is predominantly a longboard spot, but most surfers will find something to ride. The consistent longshore currents can make paddling a bit of a workout, so be prepared for that.

Accessing Flagship is easy, with paid parking available along the seawall, so you won't have to hike too far to get to the water. The local vibe is generally positive; just keep the etiquette in mind, and you’ll likely have a good time. The spot caters to various abilities, making it suitable for everyone from beginners to more seasoned surfers. During the late summer to fall and late winter to mid-spring, it’s common to see a mix of board types making their way to Flagship, including shortboards, funboards, longboards, fish, and SUPs.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Flagship

A-Frames
Texas, United States
Beach break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Crystal Beach
Texas, United States
Beach break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Flagship
Texas, United States
Unknown break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
28th St
Texas, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
33rd St
Texas, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
37th Street
Texas, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
43rd St
Texas, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
51st Street
Texas, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
61st Street
Texas, United States
Unknown break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
91st St Pier
Texas, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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