Fort Cronkite/Rodeo Beach
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
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Tuesday 09
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Fort Cronkite/Rodeo Beach surf guide

Fort Cronkite, also known as Rodeo Beach, is located at the end of Rodeo Canyon on the Cronkite Army Base. It's about a thousand-yard crescent of beach that offers a varied surf experience, trying hard to be a legit surf spot. The conditions can change a lot based on tide, swell, wind, and bottom shape, so even regulars can be caught off guard. Most surfing happens on the north half of the beach, which picks up swells from the South, North, and West. In summer, it's especially good for South swells, so if you’re looking to catch some waves, this might be a place to check out.

The surf can be pretty unpredictable. In general, it handles swell sizes from about 1 meter (3 ft) to 3 meters (10 ft). On good days, a small North or West swell can produce waves that are just overhead, especially with offshore winds and the right tide. You might find some challenging, barreling waves at Cronkite, but be aware that most days the waves can be less than ideal, often ranging from messy to closeouts. In winter, the beach can really pack a punch with big swells, so make sure you know what you're getting into. Just remember, it can get pretty shallow, and those strong winter days can bring in some serious driftwood and hazards.

The access to the spot is easy, making it convenient for all levels of surfers from beginners to experts. The local vibe is chill, but don't be surprised if you see a mix of local rippers and newcomers sharing the waves. The beach is mostly clean with a lot of sand, but watch out for the rock formations, especially on big days. The preferred wind directions are from the North, and the optimal tide is low, so plan accordingly if you want to catch the best waves. Surfboards of all kinds can be used here, whether you’re on a shortboard, funboard, longboard, or even a bodyboard.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Fort Cronkite/Rodeo Beach

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Reef break
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Reef break
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Wed 10
Thu 11
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Sun 14
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California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
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Sun 14
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Tue 16
Wed 17
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Kelly's Cove
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
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Thu 18
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Fort Cronkite/Rodeo Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Fort Cronkhite/Rodeo Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
South Ocean Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Ocean Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Stinson Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 9
Wed 10
Thu 11
Fri 12
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
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Sat 20

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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