K-38
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Wednesday 29
Thursday 30
Friday 31
Saturday 01
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Tijuana

K-38 surf guide

Located just south of Rosarito, K-38 is a well-known spot in Baja Norte and is often one of the first places surfers hit when heading to Mexico. Itโ€™s also a convenient day trip from San Diego. The break is a moderately powerful, bowly right point that works over a rocky reef. While it's not considered epic, K-38 usually delivers some fun waves, making it a popular pitstop during road trips further down the coast.

This spot works best with swells from the South and West, handling sizes from 5ft to 10ft (1.5m to 3m). The waves break over a rocky bottom and are mainly of the reef and point type, coming in from the right. The ideal conditions happen with heads blowing from the North-North-East, North-East, or East-North-East, and it's best during low to mid tide. K-38 is suitable for intermediate to expert surfers, and it can handle some solid swell, so keep that in mind as conditions can change quickly.

Access to the spot is straightforward; you can park at the nearby hotel or pay a security guard to watch your car. Expect some crowds as itโ€™s a staple in the Baja Norte surf scene, and you might run into a few grumpy American expats. Wave conditions tend to be consistent throughout the year, especially during summer, autumn, and winter with good south swells. Whether you're riding a shortboard, longboard, or fish, you'll find something here to enjoy.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby K-38

Dunes
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
K55/Campo Lopez
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
K58/La Fonda
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Las Gaviotas - Baja
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
K38
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
K-38
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break, Point break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Baja Malibu
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Calafia
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Rosarito Beach
Baja California, Mexico
Beach break, Pier break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Rosarito
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
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Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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