Kelpies
Pull to refresh
Swl 3
1.3ft 13s.
27kJ
Swl 2
0.2ft 15s.
1kJ
Swl 1
0.3ft 7s.
0kJ
Wnd
10mph
12mph
Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Australia/Hobart
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
🔮
🌒
Join Surfnerd+ to check
weekend forecasts
Wednesday 3
Thursday 4
Friday 5
Saturday 6
Sunday 7
Monday 1
to unlock wave energy
Tap any forecast cell to see the forecast arrows update on the map.
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd for free to check this forecast
Join Surfnerd to check forecasts, set your homespot, save and create spots and log your surf sessions.
Sign up with Google

Kelpies surf guide

Kelpies is a surf spot located on the Tasman Peninsula, requiring a long walk through private property to access it. This place is pretty remote, so don’t expect to see many surfers around. It has a nice view with Wedge Island in the backdrop, but getting to Kelpies can be a bit of a trek, so be prepared for that.

The best time to catch waves at Kelpies is during the winter months when a moderate to large SouthEast swell rolls in. The spot works best with a SouthEast swell direction but can also handle SouthWest swells. Waves here typically break left and over an uneven reef, making it more suitable for expert surfers. When the swell hits about 4ft (1.2m), you can expect punchy pockets right from the drop that rush towards the shoulder. Keep in mind that size can be lost as the waves refract, so it's essential to be ready for a quick ride.

For the best conditions, aim for mid to high tide and a SouthEast wind. The surrounding water is deeper, which can be a concern during dawn and dusk when sharks are more active, so timing your sessions is key. Overall, Kelpies offers a unique surfing experience for those willing to make the hike.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Kelpies

Eaglehawk Neck
Tasmania, Australia
Beach break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Tessos
Tasmania, Australia
Reef break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Remarkable Caves
Tasmania, Australia
Beach break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Shipstern Bluff
Tasmania, Australia
Point break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Roaring Beach
Tasmania, Australia
Beach break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Kelpies
Tasmania, Australia
Point break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Lauderdale Point
Tasmania, Australia
Point break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Clifton Beach
Tasmania, Australia
Beach break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Goats
Tasmania, Australia
Beach break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Wedge
Tasmania, Australia
Beach break
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Sun 10
Login to do spot actions

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

On the map, click a metric label to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+ and get:
  • Weekend
    + weekday forecasts
    (vs weekdays only)
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 5-day)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
  • Wave energy
    metric
    (power rating)
  • Secondary & tertiary
    swells
    (complete picture)
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.