Laguna Creek
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
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⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Thursday 18
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Laguna Creek surf guide

Laguna Creek is a surf spot that features a wedgy, hollow beachbreak with a good amount of backwash at high tide. It works best during small NW windswells or peaky, clean S swells. It’s a decent place to catch some waves but don’t expect perfect conditions all the time. The best time to surf here is during a medium outgoing tide.

This spot is ideal for intermediate surfers, as it can handle swell sizes starting at about 2 feet (0.6 meters). The optimal swell direction is from the Southwest, but it also picks up swells from the South and Northwest. You’ll find both left and right wave directions breaking over the sand, making it a versatile spot, especially when the wind is coming from the Northeast. Low to mid tide heights are preferable for the best surfing experience.

When you're heading to Laguna Creek, park in the dirt lot across the highway. Keep an eye out for the creek marker, then cross the street and follow the dirt path over the railroad tracks to get down to the beach. It's not a complicated trek, so you can focus on getting ready to surf!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Laguna Creek

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Reef break
Sat 13
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Stockton Avenue
California, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
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Natural Bridges State Beach
California, United States
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
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Four Mile
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Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
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Laguna Creek
California, United States
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Davenport Landing
California, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
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Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Scott Creek
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Reef break
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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