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Surf forecast for Lake Cathie

Tide
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Timezone:
Australia/Sydney
Forecast updated:
19/06, 04:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260618 12z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260618 12z)
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Timeline

Tomorrow Sat 20/06
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Lake Cathie Surf Forecast Guide

Lake Cathie is a surf spot located at the Bonny Hills southern end of Rainbow Beach. This area features some beachbreaks that can be a bit unremarkable at times, but the cluster of rocks at Lake Cathie helps shape the waves and offers a bit more to work with. The scene here can often feel lonely, which may appeal to those looking for a quieter surfing experience.

The surf works best with a southeast swell direction, but it can handle north-east and south swells too. It breaks over uneven reef and sandy bottoms, producing both left and right waves. You might find the surf decent when the swell is around 1ft (0.3m) or higher, especially during low, mid, or high tides. Intermediate surfers will feel comfortable here, but donโ€™t expect it to be world class โ€“ itโ€™s generally just okay, though often better than it seems when you first arrive.

This stretch of surf can feel a bit sketchy at times, so being aware of your surroundings is always a good idea. Don't be surprised if it feels a bit lonely out there, and just know that it might not be the most vibrant surf scene, but locals are usually cool with sharing the waves. Just bring your A-game and enjoy the ride!

Surf spots near Lake Cathie

Crescent Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Point Plomer
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Port Macquarie
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Lake Cathie
New South Wales, Australia
Beach break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
North Haven
New South Wales, Australia
Unknown break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie is usually best with swell from northeast through east-southeast to south (NE-ESE-S), ideally southeast (SE) around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, west (W) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie is a surf spot in Lake Cathie, New South Wales, Australia.

What is the surf break like at Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie is a left-and-right beach break over uneven reef and sand. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Lake Cathie suitable for?

Lake Cathie can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Lake Cathie beginner friendly for surfing?

Lake Cathie is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie is one of the more consistent surf spots in New South Wales, Australia.

Is there parking for surfing at Lake Cathie?

Parking around Lake Cathie: free parking, roadside parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near Lake Cathie?

Other nearby surf spots are North Haven, Port Macquarie, Point Plomer, and Crescent Head.

What swell direction works for surfing at Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie can work with swell from northeast through east-southeast to south (NE-ESE-S); southeast (SE) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie usually works with swell around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Lake Cathie?

West (W) offshore wind is usually best at Lake Cathie.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Lake Cathie?

West (W) is offshore at Lake Cathie.

What tide works best for surfing at Lake Cathie?

Lake Cathie can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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