Lincoln City
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
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Thursday 30
Friday 31
Saturday 01
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Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
Wind: GFS (20251030 12z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251030 12z)

Lincoln City surf guide

Lincoln City is a well-known surf spot on the Oregon Coast, featuring a long stretch of beach with various breaks suitable for surfers. The area is mostly beachbreak, meaning that it's primarily sand underfoot, with a few spots where rock comes into play. While Boiler Bay to the south is the standout spot, other areas like Road's End and the Salmon Rivermouth can also deliver fun waves. It's best to get out here during the summer months, though you can hit it in the autumn as well. The beaches are generally clean, and though you might encounter some crowds, especially at Boiler Bay, there are plenty of waves to go around at the other nearby spots.

The surf at Lincoln City varies depending on swell size, typically handling conditions from shoulder height to overhead (about 1.8m to 2.4m). The best swell directions are South, Southwest, and West, and you can expect fun beach breaks that can sometimes get hollow, especially at the longer beach at NW 15th Street. The tides are important here, with low to mid and mid to high tides often being the sweet spot for good waves. Winds from the Northeast to Southeast can provide favorable conditions. It's suitable for surfers of various skill levels, but be mindful that Boiler Bay can get challenging due to its rocky nature.

Access to Lincoln City is pretty straightforward; just take NW 15th Street off Highway 101 for the main beach access. If you're heading to Boiler Bay, you'll want to find the paved wayside parking area in Depoe Bay and hike down the goat trail to reach the surf. While crowds can be an issue at Boiler Bay, especially with shortboarders, you'll likely find more space at the other spots. Remember to watch out for local vibes; some stink-eye might happen, but just keep your cool and respect the lineup.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Lincoln City

Pacific City
Oregon, United States
Beach break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Gas Chambers - Pacific City
Oregon, United States
Beach break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Toilets - Pacific City
Oregon, United States
Beach break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Cape Kiwanda - Pacific City
Oregon, United States
Reef break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Roads End
Oregon, United States
Beach break, Reef break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
D River - Lincoln City
Oregon, United States
Beach break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Lincoln City
Oregon, United States
Beach break, Reef break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Canyons - Lincoln City
Oregon, United States
Beach break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Nelscott - Lincoln City
Oregon, United States
Reef break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Otter Rock
Oregon, United States
Beach break
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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