Loblolly Bay
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Tortola
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Saturday 13
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
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Loblolly Bay surf guide

Loblolly Bay is a remote surf spot located on Anegada, which is quite different from the rest of the British Virgin Islands. This island is basically a massive beach, with its highest point being just 10 meters (30 feet) above sea level. The area around Loblolly Bay offers a unique experience for surfers looking for something a bit off the beaten path, but be ready for a long paddle to reach the peak.

The waves at Loblolly Bay can be enjoyable if conditions are right. The spot typically handles swell sizes up to about 3 feet (1 meter), and it can pick up different types of swells. The optimal swell direction is from the Northeast, though it can also work with swells coming from the Northwest and Southeast. The waves break over dead coral, creating both left and right waves, with the left being a long, relaxed ride and the right being more intense and hollow. For the best experience, aim for mid to high tide when the waves are usually at their best. If the wind is from the south, you'll have more favorable conditions for surfing.

Loblolly Bay is best suited for intermediate surfers due to its challenging nature and the presence of sharks and rips in the area. Make sure to keep an eye on the conditions before heading out, as the environment can be a bit tricky. Enjoy the adventure of this less-traveled surf spot!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Loblolly Bay

West End
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Point break
Sat 13
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Loblolly Bay
Anegada, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
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Sun 14
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Tortola, British Virgin Islands
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Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
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Apple Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
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Capoon's Bay
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Sat 13
Sun 14
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Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
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Cappoons Bay/Bomba Shack
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Josiah's Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Yacht Harbour
Virgin Gorda, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
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Cupecoy
Sint Maarten, Sint Maarten
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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