Main Break
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Tuesday 28
Wednesday 29
Thursday 30
Friday 31
Saturday 01
Sunday 02
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Timezone: Africa/Windhoek

Main Break surf guide

Main Break is located along the remote stretch of the Skeleton Coast, 130km (80mi) from Swakopmund. This surf spot is part of the Fur Seal Reserve at Cape Cross, where you can get a slice of some decent waves. Itโ€™s a unique area, known for its massive seal population and rugged environment. Be prepared for a bit of a drive on salt roads, and keep in mind that the park officials can be strict about surfing regulations here.

The surf at Main Break can be pretty fun, especially when the swell is coming from the Southwest. It handles swell sizes starting from 2ft (0.6m) and can really get going with some solid South and West swells. The waves typically break over uneven reef, forming long lefts that can offer some nice rides. For the best experience, try to catch it on mid to high tide, with a favorable wind coming from the East. If you're looking for more variety, just down the point youโ€™ve got Graveyards, which is a faster and hollow section, but itโ€™s a bit more on the rocky side.

Despite its good waves, remember to respect the area. Surfing was once banned here, and thereโ€™s always a chance that the rules could tighten up again if surfers act up. Make sure to pay the access fee of $1.50 per person and $1.50 per car. The nearest basic campsite is around 40km (25mi) to the south, near the mile 72 post. If you're in need of a quick bite, thereโ€™s a small restaurant at the seal factory nearby, but donโ€™t expect anything fancy.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Main Break

Main Break
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Factory Point
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Graveyards (Namibia)
Erongo Region, Namibia
Point break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Fiji
Erongo Region, Namibia
Beach break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Vineta Point
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Thicklip
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Lockjoint
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Tiger Reef
Erongo Region, Namibia
Beach break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Paradise (Namibia)
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Last Toilet
Erongo Region, Namibia
Beach break
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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