Margaret River - Surfers Point
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Timezone:
Australia/Perth
Wind: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251214 23z)
Waves: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251214 23z)
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Margaret River - Surfers Point surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
S - NW
(Best from SW)
Swell size
4ft - 25ft
Swell breaks over
Uneven Reef, Sand
Wave types
Reef
Wave directions
Left, Right
Wind window
E - E
(Offshore from E)
Works at
Low, Mid, High
Skill Level
Expert

Margaret River - Surfers Point surf forecast guide

Margaret River - Surfers Point is situated about 10km (6mi) west of Margaret River town, famous for its powerful waves. This spot is well-known among surfers for its lefts that peel off the reef, making it a go-to for those looking to tackle some serious surf. It can handle solid swells and offers plenty of excitement, but it’s not for beginners. Crowds can get dense here, especially with locals and others hitting the waves, so be ready for a bit of a hectic vibe.

The surf here is pretty intense, with optimal conditions typically found with a southwest swell. It can handle swell sizes up to 4ft (1.2m), and is known to work well with waves coming from the south and northwest. The waves break over uneven reef and sand, offering both reef and beach breaks. You'll get a mix of lefts and rights, so there’s something for everyone if you know what you’re doing. Keep an eye out for speed bumps when you’re pushing off the bottom. The best conditions are low to mid tide with an east wind, giving way to some solid rides.

If you’re looking for alternatives, the Rivermouth offers some beach breaks that can be fun for beginners or those looking for a lighter day. Keep in mind that localism can be an issue here, so it’s good to be respectful of the lineup. Overall, this spot is for the expert surfer ready to take on the challenge of Margaret River.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Margaret River - Surfers Point

Margaret River - Surfers Point
Western Australia, Australia
Reef break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
The Box
Western Australia, Australia
Reef break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Margaret River - Southside
Western Australia, Australia
Reef break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Grunters
Western Australia, Australia
Reef break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Redgate Peaks
Western Australia, Australia
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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