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Surf forecast for Oak Island

Tide
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Timezone:
America/New_York
Forecast updated:
22/06, 09:45
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260622 13z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260622 00z)
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Tomorrow Mon 22/06
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Oak Island Surf Forecast Guide

Across the Cape Fear Inlet lie the barrier islands of Brunswick County. The largest island, Oak, includes the communities of Long Beach, Yaupon Beach, and Caswell Beach. Oak Island is part of the stretch known as the "armpit beaches," often overshadowed by Cape Fear and New Hanover County's more popular spots. The 14 miles of coastline here are pretty much one continuous beach, with most surf action happening near the piers. The waves generally work better on higher tides, so timing your visit is essential.

When it comes to the surf, expect mostly mild conditions. Oak Island handles swells from the South, South-Southeast, and South-Southwest, typically sizing up between 3 to 6 feet (about 0.9 to 1.8 meters). The waves break over sand and can go left or right, making it beginner-friendly. The best wind direction for surfing here is from the North, North-Northeast, or North-Northwest. The ideal tide height is mid to high, with chest-high to overhead waves possible when the right swell and wind come together. Still, overall, you might find the waves here on the weaker side compared to other areas on the coast.

Access to the beach is easy, and crowd levels are usually not a concern, providing a very mellow vibe for surfers. It's worth noting that the surf can be storm-dependent, with better conditions often arising from tropical cyclones in late summer and fall, along with frontal activity during late fall through winter and into spring. Different board types like shortboards, fish, funboards, longboards, and even SUPs can be used here, making it a versatile spot for various surfing styles.

Surf spots near Oak Island

Holden Beach
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Alabama Ave., Kure Beach
North Carolina, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Longbeach
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Oak Island
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Fort Fisher
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Oak Island?

Oak Island is usually best with south-southwest to south-southeast (SSW-SSE) swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft, wind from north-northwest to north-northeast (NNW-NNE), with north-northeast (NNE) offshore, and mid to high tide.

Where is the surf spot Oak Island?

Oak Island is a surf spot in Oak Island, North Carolina, United States.

What is the surf break like at Oak Island?

Oak Island is a right-and-left beach break over sand. Expect a quiet crowd and a reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Oak Island?

The main surf season at Oak Island is autumn.

What surfing skill level is Oak Island suitable for?

Oak Island can suit beginner and intermediate surfers.

Is Oak Island beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Oak Island can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Oak Island?

Shortboard, Fish, Funboard, Longboard, Sup, Skimming, Bodyboard, Bodysurfing, and Kiteboard are common choices at Oak Island.

What surf spots are near Oak Island?

Other nearby surf spots are Longbeach, Fort Fisher, Holden Beach, and Alabama Ave., Kure Beach.

What swell direction works for surfing at Oak Island?

Oak Island can work with swell from south-southwest to south-southeast (SSW-SSE).

What swell size works for surfing at Oak Island?

Oak Island usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Oak Island?

Oak Island usually works with wind from north-northwest to north-northeast (NNW-NNE); north-northeast (NNE) is offshore.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Oak Island?

North-northeast (NNE) is offshore at Oak Island.

What tide works best for surfing at Oak Island?

Oak Island works best around mid to high tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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