Pakaia
Pull to refresh
Swl 3
0.9ft 10s.
7kJ
Swl 2
2.9ft 18s.
244kJ
Swl 1
10.9ft 12s.
1519kJ
Wnd
13mph
14mph
Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Pacific/Easter
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
🔮
🌒
Join Surfnerd+ to check
weekend forecasts
Tuesday 2
Wednesday 3
Thursday 4
Friday 5
Saturday 6
Sunday 7
to unlock wave energy
Tap any forecast cell to see the forecast arrows update on the map.
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd for free to check this forecast
Join Surfnerd to check forecasts, set your homespot, save and create spots and log your surf sessions.
Sign up with Google

Pakaia surf guide

Pakaia is a surf spot located along the south coast, known for its distinctive lava reef waves. The spot can be described as an intense left that somewhat resembles a smaller version of Pipeline. Depending on the swell direction, Pakaia can be either a great surf day or practically flat, so it's always good to check the conditions before heading out. The entry and exit are pretty straightforward, thanks to the nearby small harbor, making it a relatively easy paddle out.

The waves at Pakaia are mainly left-handers, breaking over an uneven reef. The best swell directions to look out for are Northeast and South, and the spot can handle swell sizes up to 6ft (about 1.8 meters). When the conditions align, surfers can enjoy short lefts and longer rights that usually don’t close out. The ideal wind direction is from the Northwest, which helps to optimize the wave quality. You can catch good waves during low, mid, and high tides, so whatever your schedule, you’ve got options here. Just keep in mind that this spot is recommended for expert surfers, as the waves can be quite challenging.

Surfers should pay attention to the swell size and direction since the quality of the surf can change pretty quickly. It’s also a good idea to come prepared for more technical reef surfing, as the unevenness of the reef can make for an interesting ride. Pakaia offers a unique surf experience that can vary day by day, so it's worth keeping an eye on the conditions and being ready for a variety of wave scenarios.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Pakaia

Ovahe
Valparaiso, Chile
Beach break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Anakena
Valparaiso, Chile
Beach break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Hanga Nui
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Pakaia
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Akahanga
Valparaiso, Chile
Point break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Koe Koe
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Huareva
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Vaihu
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Tangaroa
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Viri-Inga-O-Tuki
Valparaiso, Chile
Reef break
Tue 29
Wed 30
Thu 31
Fri 1
Sat 2
Sun 3
Mon 4
Tue 5
Wed 6
Thu 7
Fri 8
Sat 9
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+ and get:
  • Weekend
    + weekday forecasts
    (vs weekdays only)
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 5-day)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
  • Wave energy
    metric
    (power rating)
  • Secondary & tertiary
    swells
    (complete picture)
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Login to do spot actions

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

On the map, click a metric label to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"