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Surf forecast for Papa

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Easter
Forecast updated:
30/06, 19:57
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260701 01z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260630 18z)
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Papa Surf Forecast Guide

Papa is a surf spot also known as Pea, located in a popular area for surfers looking for a casual day on the waves. It can handle different swell sizes, starting from around 1ft (0.3m), making it accessible for surfers of various skill levels. While it might get crowded during the summer months, especially with local bodyboarders when the waves are under 4ft (1.2m), it still offers a laid-back vibe for those who want to enjoy the surf.

The optimal swell direction for Papa is Northwest, but it can also accommodate southwest swells. The spot offers both left and right waves, which is great for longboarders as well as beginners. The waves break over an uneven reef, which adds a bit of challenge. The best conditions are usually found with a southeast wind, and it works through all tide heights—low, mid, and high—making it a versatile spot for different surfing conditions.

Even though it’s beginner-friendly, it's always good to keep an eye on the local crowd, especially during peak season. If you're not familiar with the area, make sure to respect the lineup and enjoy your time at Papa!

Surf spots near Papa

Tahai
Valparaíso, Chile
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Toroko
Valparaíso, Chile
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Motu Hava
Valparaíso, Chile
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Papa
Valparaíso, Chile
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Mataveri
Valparaíso, Chile
Point break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Papa?

Papa is usually best with swell from southwest to northwest (SW-NW), ideally northwest (NW) around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, southeast (SE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Papa?

Papa is a surf spot in Hanga Roa, Valparaíso, Chile.

What is the surf break like at Papa?

Papa is a left-and-right reef break over uneven reef. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Papa suitable for?

Papa can suit beginner surfers.

Is Papa beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Papa can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

How consistent is the surf at Papa?

Papa is one of the more consistent surf spots in Valparaíso, Chile.

What surf spots are near Papa?

Other nearby surf spots are Motu Hava, Toroko, Tahai, and Mataveri.

What swell direction works for surfing at Papa?

Papa can work with swell from southwest to northwest (SW-NW); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Papa?

Papa usually works with swell around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Papa?

Southeast (SE) offshore wind is usually best at Papa.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Papa?

Southeast (SE) is offshore at Papa.

What tide works best for surfing at Papa?

Papa can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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