Point Annihilation
Hourly
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Timezone: Pacific/Auckland
Wind: GFS (20251102 12z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251102 12z)

Point Annihilation surf guide

Point Annihilation is a surf spot that gets its name from the powerful waves you’ll find here. It’s located north of Napier, and definitely can be a treat for those ready to tackle its intense conditions. This place is best suited for experienced surfers who can handle the busy line-up of local rippers. If you’re looking for a spot to test your skills, this might just be the right place for you.

The surf at Point Annihilation is pretty dynamic. The waves mainly break to the right and are known to handle swell sizes up to 4 feet (about 1.2 meters). The ideal swell directions are from the south, although southeast and southwest swells also work. You’ll want to aim for low to mid tide for the best conditions. When the winds are coming from the north, that’s when you’ll find the waves really firing. Just remember to keep an eye on those uneven reefs; knowing where to paddle out is key.

Getting there is straightforward. From Napier, you take State Highway 2 through Wairoa and then onto Nuhaka Opoutama Road, eventually turning right onto Waikokopu Road. Once you park at the end of the road, it’s a long paddle out from the ruins of the Waikokopu wharf to reach the waves. So, be prepared for a workout before you even start riding. Overall, Point Annihilation offers a solid challenge for surfers looking to push their limits.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Point Annihilation

Opoutama
Hawkes Bay, New Zealand
Beach break
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Tracks
Hawkes Bay, New Zealand
Point break
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Point Annihilation
Hawkes Bay, New Zealand
Point break
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
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Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
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Wed 12
Thu 13
Rolling Stones
Hawkes Bay, New Zealand
Point break
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Blacks Reef
Hawkes Bay, New Zealand
Reef break
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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