Reef Road
Hourly
Confidence
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⚡️kJ
Saturday 08
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Thursday 13
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/New_York
Wind: GFS (20251107 18z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251107 18z)

Reef Road surf guide

Reef Road is a surf spot located in Palm Beach, Florida. It’s known for its challenging waves and is a popular destination among local surfers. The spot is situated near some pricey oceanfront properties, which adds to its exclusivity. Accessing Reef Road can be tricky, as there is no parking within a mile of the surf area. Surfers often need to find a spot to park further south and then hike in, but the effort is worth it for those looking for a decent surf session.

When it comes to surfing at Reef Road, the waves tend to work best with a north to northeast swell, especially when it gets overhead (about 2 meters). The spot can handle swell sizes reaching up to 6 ft. (around 1.8 meters) and can produce powerful lefts that break over a mix of rock ledge and sand. Best conditions are seen at low tide coming in, but it can also work during mid and high tides. Expect some long paddle-outs, especially in bigger swells, making it more suitable for intermediate surfers who can handle the challenge. The preferable wind direction is from the west, which can help keep the waves clean.

While the surf here can get heavy, it’s important to be aware of the crowd. Despite the access issues, you’ll find quite a few surfers out, particularly during medium-size conditions. During larger swells, the line-up can become more exclusive as it separates the more experienced surfers from beginners. Just be prepared for a workout getting out there, especially if you're catching the bigger waves.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Reef Road

Ocean Reef Park
Florida, United States
Beach break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Reef Road
Florida, United States
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Reef Road
Florida, United States
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Sunrise
Florida, United States
Unknown break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Flagpole
Florida, United States
Unknown break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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