Rio Coyula
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Timezone:
America/Mexico_City
Wind: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251214 03z)
Waves: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251214 03z)
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Rio Coyula surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
SE - W
(Best from SE)
Swell size
3ft - 12ft
Swell breaks over
Uneven Reef, Sand
Wave types
Point
Wave directions
Right
Wind window
N - N
(Offshore from N)
Works at
Low, Mid, High
Skill Level
Intermediate

Rio Coyula surf forecast guide

Rio Coyula is a surf spot located just off Mex 200, accessed via a dirt track that leads you to a sandy pointbreak in front of Laguna Boca Vieja. It features a left and right wave at the eastern headland, which are ideal when the S-SE swell kicks in. This area isn’t heavily surfed, making it an interesting option for those looking to escape the crowds.

The surf here works best with a southeast swell, but you can also catch waves with a west swell. It handles swell sizes around 3ft (about 1 meter) quite well, breaking over uneven reef and sand. The point setup produces right waves, which is a bonus for surfers who prefer going that direction. For the best conditions, aim to surf during the low to mid tide, and you'll want the wind coming from the north for optimal performance. This spot is mainly suitable for intermediate surfers, so if you're still learning, it might be a bit challenging.

Keep in mind that the overall surf potential here is decent, with a mix of both good and not-so-great days. It's a spot worth checking out if you're looking for something a bit different, and you might just find some nice waves without a lot of competition.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Rio Coyula

San Augustin
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
San Agustin
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Rio Coyula
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Zipolite
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Zipolite
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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