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Surf forecast for Shit Bay

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
America/Guayaquil
Forecast updated:
26/06, 07:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260626 00z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260626 00z)
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Timeline

Shit Bay Surf Forecast Guide

Shit Bay, also known as La Bahia, is a well-exposed surf spot that caters mostly to experienced surfers. It gets its name from a history tied to the American military, where sewage was dumped back in the '50s. The spot can be tricky to hit just right, as it doesn’t work often. When it does come alive, it tends to draw a crowd, particularly when conditions are on point. Accessing Shit Bay is easiest by boat, but if you prefer to walk, just be sure to go around the rocks at low tide for a safer trek.

The waves at Shit Bay generally break left over an uneven reef, making it a spot primarily suited for expert surfers only. It handles swell sizes starting at 2 feet (0.6 meters) and works best with northwest swells. While it can pick up some south or southwest swells, those smaller ones often miss the bay. For the best conditions, aim for south winds and any tide height, whether low, mid, or high. Just be prepared for the chance of a crowded lineup when it’s firing.

Keep in mind that since the spot isn’t super consistent, it might take some patience to catch it at its best. If you’re looking for something more relaxed or less crowded, consider waiting for those moderate NW swells. Just remember to check the conditions before heading out, as Shit Bay can be quite challenging.

Surf spots near Shit Bay

Shit Bay
Santa Elena, Ecuador
Reef break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Chocolatera
Santa Elena, Ecuador
Reef break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
El Barco - Salinas
Santa Elena, Ecuador
Reef break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Playero de Miramar
Santa Elena, Ecuador
Reef break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
FAE
Santa Elena, Ecuador
Point break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Shit Bay?

Shit Bay is usually best with swell from southwest to north (SW-N), ideally northwest (NW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, south (S) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Shit Bay?

Shit Bay is a surf spot in Salinas, Santa Elena, Ecuador.

What is the surf break like at Shit Bay?

Shit Bay is a left reef break over uneven reef. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Shit Bay suitable for?

Shit Bay can suit expert surfers.

Is Shit Bay beginner friendly for surfing?

Shit Bay is better suited to expert surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Shit Bay?

Surf consistency at Shit Bay is more variable.

Is there parking for surfing at Shit Bay?

Parking around Shit Bay: free parking, paid parking, roadside parking, and restricted parking.

What surf spots are near Shit Bay?

Other nearby surf spots are FAE, Chocolatera, Playero de Miramar, and El Barco - Salinas.

What swell direction works for surfing at Shit Bay?

Shit Bay can work with swell from southwest to north (SW-N); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Shit Bay?

Shit Bay usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Shit Bay?

South (S) offshore wind is usually best at Shit Bay.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Shit Bay?

South (S) is offshore at Shit Bay.

What tide works best for surfing at Shit Bay?

Shit Bay can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
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Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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