Stockton
Hourly
Confidence
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/New_York
Wind: GFS (20251103 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251103 06z)

Stockton surf guide

Stockton is a surf spot located in Cape May, known for its south-facing beaches. It’s a solid option for surfers looking to catch some waves. The beach can get crowded, especially in the summer, as it tends to attract local surfers and those from nearby areas whenever the conditions are favorable.

The surf here tends to peak with a good northeast swell, ideally when it’s around chest-high (about 1-2 meters) to well overhead (up to 2.1 meters). The waves break over sand, and you can expect predominantly lefts coming off the rock jetty. While the conditions can get fun, especially with the right tide, the recent beach replenishment projects have caused the sandbars to become a bit unpredictable. Paddling out is manageable, but it can vary depending on how big the swell gets. Best swell sizes to look for are generally between 3 ft and 7 ft (0.9 to 2.1 meters), and the preferred winds are from the north.

Access to Stockton is generally easy, though it might be a bit tougher during the summer months when beach tags are a must. The local vibe is usually mellow to moderate, and the crowd factor ranges from light to moderate on most days. Surfing here is best from September through March, making it a decent spot for autumn and winter swells. You can ride various boards here including shortboards, fish, longboards, and bodyboards.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Stockton

The Cove
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Broadway
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Grant Street Beach
New Jersey, United States
Beach break, Jetty break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Stockton
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Queen Street
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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