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Surf forecast for Vairao

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Tahiti
Forecast updated:
22/06, 05:16
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260622 15z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260622 06z)
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Vairao Surf Forecast Guide

Vairao is a surf spot located on the Iti Peninsula in Tahiti, known for its smooth left-hand waves. It’s more mellow than Teahupo'o, making it a good choice for surfers looking for quality barrels without the intensity of some other spots. The environment is fairly clean, and it offers a unique vibe due to its remote location. To get to Vairao, you can either take a boat or paddle for about 20 minutes from the shore.

The surf here is recognized for its steep, fast take-off that can lead to some perfect barrels. It’s a left-breaking wave that rolls over a live coral reef, making it essential to know your limits. Vairao can handle swell sizes from 4ft (about 1.2 meters) to 12ft (about 3.7 meters), and works best when the swell comes in from the South or South-East. The wave tends to be really good during the medium to high tides, and it performs well with North-East winds. When conditions align, you can enjoy a long ride of several hundred yards before reaching the final bowl section into the reef pass. It’s primarily suited for expert surfers and shortboards.

While the wave quality is undeniably impressive, expect to put in the effort with a medium paddle out. There's not much in terms of crowd factor, so you’ll often find yourself sharing the wave with just a few others. Just keep an eye on the reef below, as it poses some hazards. The best time to surf here is from March to September, covering both autumn and winter seasons.

Surf spots near Vairao

Papeari
Windward Islands, French Polynesia
Unknown break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Vairao
Windward Islands, French Polynesia
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Teahupoo
Windward Islands, French Polynesia
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Papara
Windward Islands, French Polynesia
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Papara
Windward Islands, French Polynesia
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Vairao?

Vairao is usually best with swell from southwest to southeast (SW-SE), ideally south (S) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Vairao?

Vairao is a surf spot in Taiʻarapu-Ouest, Windward Islands, French Polynesia.

What is the surf break like at Vairao?

Vairao is a left reef break over live coral. Expect a quiet crowd and a reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing Vairao?

The main surf season at Vairao is autumn and winter.

What surfing skill level is Vairao suitable for?

Vairao can suit expert surfers.

Is Vairao beginner friendly for surfing?

Vairao is better suited to expert surfers.

What surfboards work at Vairao?

Shortboard is a common choice at Vairao.

How consistent is the surf at Vairao?

Vairao has moderate surf consistency for Windward Islands, French Polynesia.

What surf spots are near Vairao?

Other nearby surf spots are Papeari, Teahupoo, Papara, and Papara.

What swell direction works for surfing at Vairao?

Vairao can work with swell from southwest to southeast (SW-SE); south (S) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Vairao?

Vairao usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Vairao?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at Vairao.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Vairao?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Vairao.

What tide works best for surfing at Vairao?

Vairao can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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