Waddell Creek
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
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Saturday 13
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Thursday 18
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Waddell Creek surf guide

Waddell Creek is a popular surf spot located along the California coast. It features several hundred yards of beachbreaks and reefs leading up to a rivermouth, with more beachbreaks and reefs found at the north end. This spot tends to be a favorite for Santa Cruz surfers, providing a mix of wave types that cater to various skill levels.

The surf here is generally decent, with a preference for incoming to high tides. It handles swells from the west, northwest, and south, ranging from about 3 feet (0.9 meters) to 10 feet (3 meters). Waddell Creek works well with wind from the northeast, and on good days, the beachbreaks can handle anything up to double-overhead. Most surfers will find a fun session with waist-high to head-high waves being common, especially in the summer and autumn. The waves break over a mix of rock ledges and sand, creating both left and right-handers. The spot can get crowded, especially during good surf, but the vibe is usually pretty mellow, even with the occasional high crowd factor.

There's plenty of parking available near the spot, making access easy. Keep in mind that Waddell Creek is also a hotspot for sailboarders and kitesurfers when the wind picks up. It’s advisable to watch out for those along with the chance of sharks in the area. If you’re looking for an industrial-strength surf experience in a beautiful natural setting, Waddell Creek is worth checking out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Waddell Creek

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Waddell Creek
California, United States
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
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Mon 22
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Pescadero State Beach
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
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Bean Hollow State Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
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Pigeon Point
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Reef break
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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