Waipoua Reefs
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Timezone:
Pacific/Auckland
Wind: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251213 01z)
Waves: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251213 01z)
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Waipoua Reefs surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
SW - NW
(Best from SW)
Swell size
2ft - 12ft
Swell breaks over
Uneven Reef, Sand
Wave types
Reef
Wave directions
Right
Wind window
NE - NE
(Offshore from NE)
Works at
Mid, High
Skill Level
Expert

Waipoua Reefs surf forecast guide

Waipoua Reefs is located up the Kauri Coast, about a one-hour hike south from Waimamaku. This spot is pretty isolated, making it a great choice for those looking to get away from the crowds. The access can be a bit tricky, and finding it might require some effort navigating through forestry tracks. This means you’re likely to encounter just a small group of other surfers, which is an appealing factor for many.

The surf here is best suited for experts, with waves that can get gnarly and challenging. When the swell is coming from the SouthWest, it tends to handle sizes at around 2ft (0.6 meters) and can get quite powerful. The waves break over uneven reef and sometimes sand, primarily offering right-handers. It's important to catch the right conditions, with the best wind coming from the NorthEast and the optimal tide heights being around mid to high. This spot is not for beginners; you need solid skills to handle what’s thrown your way.

Access to the beach can be a pain due to the locked gates and rough 4WD forestry trails, so prepare for a bit of a trek. If you're up for a bit of adventure and you’ve got the skillset, Waipoua Reefs can offer some unique surf sessions where you really feel like you’re in a true wilderness setting.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Waipoua Reefs

Waipoua Reefs
Northland, New Zealand
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Shipwreck Bay
Northland, New Zealand
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Peaks
Northland, New Zealand
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Mukies 1
Northland, New Zealand
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
The Box (Northland)
Northland, New Zealand
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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