Watergate Bay Surf Forecast

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tijdzone:
Europe/London
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260319 14z)
Golven: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260319 14z)
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Swell 1Swell 2Swell 3Wind waves

Watergate Bay Surf Forecast Eigenschappen

Swell venster
ZW - NW
(Beste uit ZW)
Swell hoogte
1ft - 10ft
Swell breekt over
Zand
Golftypes
Strand
Golfrichtingen
Links, Rechts
Wind venster
O - O
(Offshore uit O)
Werkende getijden
Laag, Mid, Hoog
Niveau
Beginner
Seizoenen
Herfst
Boardtypes
Shortboard, Funboard, Longboard, Fish, Sup, Bodyboard

Watergate Bay Surf Forecast Gids

Watergate Bay is a popular surf spot located just north of Newquay. Stretching for 2.5 kilometers, it's known for its sandy beach and fun surfing conditions. This spot attracts a mix of surfers, including beginners and more experienced riders. While it has become busier over the years, there's still room to find your own peak if you take a short walk along the beach.

The surf here is pretty consistent, with conditions that can accommodate a variety of skill levels. You can catch waves with sizes ranging from about 0.6 meters (2 feet) all the way up to 3 meters (10 feet). The beach breaks can deliver lefts and rights, making it a versatile zone for all kinds of boards, whether you're on a shortboard, longboard, fish, SUP, or even bodyboarding. The best swells come from the South-West and North-West, and it works well with a range of tides, though low to mid is often preferable. If you’re paddling out on bigger swells, be prepared—it can be tiring. As for winds, easterly breezes are generally best here.

Facilities here are decent, with parking available above the beach, so access is fairly easy. Expect a lively vibe, especially in the summer and on weekends, when it can get quite crowded. Despite the busyness, the local surfing community is usually friendly and welcoming. Overall, Watergate Bay is a solid spot that offers a good blend of surf conditions for various abilities and boards throughout the year, with the best time to surf being from September to November.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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