Apple Bay
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Tortola
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 28
Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
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Apple Bay surf guide

Apple Bay, also known locally as Capoon's Bay, is a small stretch of coast that provides surfers with a wide-open window to the NW, N, and NE. Sitting in front of the well-known Bomba Shack, the spot features a nicely shaped reef that transforms incoming swells into well-defined waves. It's recognized as the most consistent surf spot in the British Virgin Islands, managing to catch any swell that’s rolling in. The waves tend to close out when they reach about 8 to 10 feet (2.4 to 3 meters), but generally, it’s a decent spot for those looking to ride some fun waves.

The surf here can range from chest-high to overhead+ (about 1.2 to over 2.5 meters), depending on the swell size. Apple Bay works best with swells coming from the NNW, N, or NNE, and it likes a bit of W in the swell to get the lefts going and create some bowls for the rights. You’ll find the bottom is primarily reef, but watch out for a few rocky spots on the inside. Wind from the southeast is preferred for optimal conditions. It can be a bit of work to paddle out, especially when the swell is sizable, so keep that in mind.

Accessing the spot is pretty easy as you can park right there. Just be aware that it can get crowded when the waves are good, so a bit of local vibe is present, though it's generally not too heavy—just be respectful. Late summer and fall are great for tropical cyclone swells, but if you're after consistency, late fall through early spring is your best bet. Surfable for all skill levels, this spot accommodates beginner, intermediate, and expert surfers alike, and you can bring a variety of boards like shortboards, funboards, longboards, fishes, or even bodyboards.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Apple Bay

La Selva
Luquillo, Puerto Rico
Beach break, Reef break, Point break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
West End
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Loblolly Bay
Anegada, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Brewers Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Point break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Cane Garden Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Point break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Apple Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Capoon's Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Cappoons Bay/Bomba Shack
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Josiah's Bay
Tortola, British Virgin Islands
Beach break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Yacht Harbour
Virgin Gorda, British Virgin Islands
Reef break
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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