Avila Beach
Hourly
Confidence
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Wednesday 29
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Friday 31
Saturday 01
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Monday 03
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles

Avila Beach surf guide

Avila Beach is a charming little beach community located in San Luis Obispo County. It's known for its nice scenery and relaxed vibe, but as a surf spot, it doesnโ€™t really shine on a regular basis. The waves here can be pretty lackluster most of the year, often producing waist-high closeouts. It really needs a good groundswell to get things rolling, but when conditions align, it can surprise you. The creek mouth here might help with sandbars, but they donโ€™t always do the trick, which is why youโ€™ll find it not getting consistent surf often.

When it comes to riding waves at Avila, the biggest swells come from the SW and W, with optimal sizes ranging from 3ft to 10ft (about 0.9 to 3 meters). Itโ€™s best to hit the water around low to mid tide to catch the better waves, which generally break over a sandy beach with some rocks mixed in. The ideal wind here comes from the north and northeast, keeping the waves clean and enjoyable. The conditions are great for different skill levels; whether youโ€™re a beginner or have more experience, you can find something here. Just be ready to paddle on those bigger days, especially if youโ€™re going for something a bit more challenging.

Getting to Avila Beach isnโ€™t tough at all. You can find street parking nearby and just walk down to the beach. The crowds are usually mellow since the spot isnโ€™t super popular or busy, which is a nice change if you're looking for a chill surfing experience. Itโ€™s not a hotspot for competitive surfing, so you can really enjoy the relaxed atmosphere. Just watch out for the occasional sharks, cold water, and some scattered rocks, especially near the piers. Overall, if youโ€™re in the area and want to give it a shot, surf here during the summer into autumn, or even in the winter when the swells can be bigger!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Avila Beach

Pismo Beach Pier
California, United States
Unknown break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Oceano
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Shell Beach
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Saint Anne's
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Avila Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Santa Maria Rivermouth/ Guadalupe Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Morro Bay
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Morro Rock
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Hazard Canyon
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Spooners Cove
California, United States
Point break
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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