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Surf forecast for Baggies

Tide
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
Africa/Johannesburg
Forecast updated:
24/06, 08:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260623 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260623 18z)
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Timeline

Baggies Surf Forecast Guide

Baggies is a popular surf spot located at Warner Beach, known for its punchy and consistent waves. The area is favored by local surfers and can get pretty crowded, especially on the weekends. It attracts a mix of surfers, from beginners to more experienced riders, due to its variety of peaks along the beach that can accommodate different skill levels.

The surf at Baggies works best on southeast swells, but it can handle swells from the northeast and southwest as well. The spot is capable of managing swell sizes starting from about 1ft (0.3 meters) and can go up to head-high for more experienced surfers. Waves break over uneven reef and sand, with both left and right rides available. When it's on, you'll find that the waves are punchy, especially on the right day with northwest winds. Low to high tide can be favorable here, making it a versatile spot for catching waves.

It's important to note that despite being a good spot for beginners, Baggies can get busy, so it's wise to be aware of your surroundings and respect the local surfers. The vibe can be laid-back, but weekends can see an influx of surfers looking to catch some fun waves, which might make the lineup a bit hectic.

Surf spots near Baggies

Baggies
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Beach break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Amanzimtoti
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Beach break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Green Point - KZN SA
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Point break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Brighton Beach
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Beach break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Cave Rock
KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Reef break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Baggies?

Baggies is usually best with swell from southwest through north to northeast (SW-N-NE), ideally southeast (SE) around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft, northwest (NW) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Baggies?

Baggies is a surf spot in Kingsburgh, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

What is the surf break like at Baggies?

Baggies is a left-and-right beach break over uneven reef and sand. Expect a busy crowd.

What surfing skill level is Baggies suitable for?

Baggies can suit beginner surfers.

Is Baggies beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Baggies can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

How consistent is the surf at Baggies?

Baggies is one of the more consistent surf spots in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

What surf spots are near Baggies?

Other nearby surf spots are Amanzimtoti, Brighton Beach, Green Point - KZN SA, and Cave Rock.

What swell direction works for surfing at Baggies?

Baggies can work with swell from southwest through north to northeast (SW-N-NE); southeast (SE) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Baggies?

Baggies usually works with swell around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Baggies?

Northwest (NW) offshore wind is usually best at Baggies.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Baggies?

Northwest (NW) is offshore at Baggies.

What tide works best for surfing at Baggies?

Baggies can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.