Carana
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 29
Sunday 30
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
Wednesday 03
Timezone:
Indian/Mahe
Wind: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251129 20z)
Waves: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251129 20z)
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Carana surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
N - SE
(Best from N)
Swell size
1ft - 4ft
Swell breaks over
Sand
Wave types
Beach
Wave directions
Left, Right
Wind window
SW - SW
(Offshore from SW)
Works at
Low, Mid, High
Skill Level
Beginner

Carana surf forecast guide

Carana is a north-facing beach that can occasionally serve up some fun waves, especially during the summer when a north swell rolls in. It’s a bit of a hidden gem for locals, especially when other surf spots are flat or crowded. While it’s not a world-renowned break, it can offer a decent session for surfers looking to catch some easy waves.

When the conditions are right, Carana can handle swell sizes around 1ft (0.3 meters) and produces both left and right beach breaks. The optimal swell direction is north, but it can also work with southeast swells. The waves are generally soft and forgiving, making it a good spot for beginners. For the best experience, low to mid-tide works well, and if the wind is blowing from the southwest, you'll have the best chance of cleaner surf. On days when the wind picks up, you might find some wind slop, but that can still be fun if you're looking for something laid-back.

It’s a chill vibe at Carana, drawing a few locals, especially when other spots aren’t on. If you find yourself here on the right day, it's worth grabbing your board and heading out for a relaxed surf session with some friends.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Carana

Carana
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Northeast Point
Anse Etoile, Seychelles
Reef break
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Grande Anse
Grand Anse Mahe, Seychelles
Beach break
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Barbarons
Grand Anse Mahe, Seychelles
Reef break
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Anse aux Poules Bleues
Anse Royale, Seychelles
Reef break
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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