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Surf forecast for Carcavelos

Tide
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
Europe/Lisbon
Forecast updated:
24/06, 19:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260624 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260624 18z)
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Carcavelos Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Carcavelos is Portugalโ€™s original surf spot and still one of its standout beachbreaks. It sits about 15 minutes outside Lisbon, with a half-mile beach between flat rock reef to the west and Forte Sรฃo Juliรฃo da Barra to the east.

The Zone, beside the fort, is the classic end of the beach, with cylindrical lefts over shifting sandbars and the occasional right. The bottom is sand, and the waves can be heavy and barrel-shaped, especially in winter.

When It Works

Carcavelos is highly consistent and works from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft. The optimal swell direction is southwest, with a broader swell window from south through west-southwest to northwest.

Autumn is the standout season, with winter also bringing strong days and some surf into spring. Summer is much slower, especially July and August. The sandbars matter here: after summer, they often need a solid swell to break up the flatter bottom before the beach starts peaking properly again.

Wind and Tide

The offshore wind direction is northeast. Mid tide is best, so aim for mid tide when you can, though Carcavelos can break through low, mid, and high tide. A rising tide is better.

Local Tips

This is a busy urban surf spot, and there is almost always a crowd because it is so close to Lisbon. The peaks near The Zone are more localized and contested than the ones farther west.

Shortboards fit the main wave style. Beginners do surf here, but bigger days can mean harder paddling, rips, heavy sand-bottom waves, crowds, and the risk of hitting bottom.

Access

There is paid parking, roadside parking, and a car park nearby. Facilities include restrooms, showers, a lifeguard, a surf school, and a surf shop.

Surf spots near Carcavelos

Bafureira
Lisbon, Portugal
Point break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Parede
Lisbon, Portugal
Point break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Carcavelos
Lisbon, Portugal
Beach break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Praia de Torre
Lisboa, Portugal
Unknown break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Santa Amaro
Lisboa, Portugal
Point break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Carcavelos?

Carcavelos is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally southwest (SW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide. Mid tide is the preferred tide.

Where is the surf spot Carcavelos?

Carcavelos is a surf spot in Carcavelos, Lisbon, Portugal.

What is the surf break like at Carcavelos?

Carcavelos is a left-and-right beach break over sand. Expect a busy crowd and a neutral lineup.

What season is best for surfing Carcavelos?

The main surf season at Carcavelos is autumn and winter.

What surfing skill level is Carcavelos suitable for?

Carcavelos can suit beginner surfers.

Is Carcavelos beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Carcavelos can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

What surfboards work at Carcavelos?

Shortboard is a common choice at Carcavelos.

What facilities are available for surfers at Carcavelos?

Facilities for surfers at Carcavelos: restrooms, showers, lifeguard, surf school, and surf shop.

Is there parking for surfing at Carcavelos?

Parking around Carcavelos: paid parking, roadside parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near Carcavelos?

Other nearby surf spots are Parede, Praia de Torre, Bafureira, and Santa Amaro.

What swell direction works for surfing at Carcavelos?

Carcavelos can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); southwest (SW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Carcavelos?

Carcavelos usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Carcavelos?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at Carcavelos.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Carcavelos?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Carcavelos.

What tide works best for surfing at Carcavelos?

Carcavelos can work on all tides. Mid tide is preferred. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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