Chesterman Beach (South)
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Vancouver
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Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
Wednesday 03
Thursday 04
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Chesterman Beach (South) surf guide

South Chesterman Beach is located near Tofino and is known for being a bit less consistent compared to other nearby surf spots. Facing almost directly south, it can be hit or miss, especially since the predominant swells come from the west. However, when southern-hemisphere swells roll in, this spot can really shine. The left-hand wedge at the western corner becomes a fun ride but be aware it can max out quickly, so you might find the best conditions on the second or third day of these swells.

The surf here works best with swells coming from the south to southwest and can handle sizes from around 3 feet to 8 feet (1 to 2.5 meters). Itโ€™s got a sandy bottom, which is pretty friendly for surfers, and the wave types are mainly beach breaks. The winds that work well are from the southwest to northwest, and mid to high tide is usually the best time to hit the water. When conditions line up, you can enjoy short, bowling wedges with plenty of speed, making it easy to lean into turns or throw down some powerful moves. Keep an eye out for the odd sneaky tube at the peak, too. It caters to various skill levels, from beginners to experts, so it's a good spot to work on your skills.

Access is straightforward with a large parking lot at the east end of South Chesterman Road and a short trail that leads to the beach. Expect to see crowds here, especially with beginners and surf lessons happening regularly. The corner zone usually has fewer surfers, but locals commonly occupy the best spots on good days. Despite that, the vibe is mostly friendly, so don't hesitate to chat with fellow surfers. This spot is generally active from March to October, making it a seasonal favorite for many.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Chesterman Beach (South)

Pachena Bay
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Twin Rivers Point
British Columbia, Canada
Point break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
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Wickaninnish
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Long Beach - Vancouver Island
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Long Beach
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Cox Bay - Vancouver Island
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Rosie's Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Chesterman Beach (South)
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Chesterman Beach
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
Rosie Bay
British Columbia, Canada
Beach break
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wed 10
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Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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