Concepción Bamba
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Mexico_City
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Thursday 18
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Concepción Bamba surf guide

Concepción Bamba is a surf spot located along Highway 200, easily accessible via a track beside the quarries. This spot is favored for its better protection from the wind compared to nearby point breaks, and it offers a good level of consistency. Surfers appreciate the location, especially for its well-formed waves that can provide thrilling rides.

The surf here mainly features right-hand waves that break over boulders and sand. The optimal swell direction for Concepción Bamba is from the south, but it also works well with southeast and southwest swells. It handles swell sizes around 3ft (approximately 0.9 meters), with the best rides happening at low to mid tide. Winds coming from the northwest can create more favorable conditions. A small breakwall is where you’ll find a juicy, hollow right that’s quite intense, but keep an eye on tide levels to avoid backwash messing up your ride. There’s another breakwall that produces a heavier, thicker barreling right which is also worth checking out.

This spot is best suited for intermediate surfers, so it’s a decent choice if you’ve got some experience under your belt. It's a great place to hone your skills, but make sure you're ready for the challenge as the waves can pack a punch.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Concepción Bamba

La Ventosa
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sat 13
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Salinas Cruz Jetty
Oaxaca, Mexico
Unknown break
Sat 13
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Salina Cruz
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sat 13
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Punta Conejo
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sat 13
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Punta Chivo
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
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Mon 22
Tue 23
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Punta Chipehua
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
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Sun 21
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Tue 23
Wed 24
Concepción Bamba
Oaxaca, Mexico
Unknown break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Tue 23
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San Diego
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sat 13
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Morro Ayuta Point
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sat 13
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Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
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Barra de la Cruz
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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