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Surf forecast for El Buey

Map showing El Buey
Wwvs
2.3ft 4s.
21kJ
Swl 3
0.3ft 16s.
7kJ
Swl 2
3.0ft 8s.
153kJ
Swl 1
3.5ft 17s.
945kJ
Wnd
9mph
14mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
America/Santiago
Forecast updated:
16/10, 09:00 am
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261016 00z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261016 00z)

Weather

Friday 16/10

Water temperature
68ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
66โ€“67ยฐF
On shore
61โ€“71ยฐF
Moon phase
Waxing crescent
31% illuminated
Closest moon phase
First quarter
Sun 18/10 01:14 pm
Tide range
0.5ft - 2.8ft
Low 08:22 am ยท High 01:15 am
Next spring tide
Tue 27/10
3.8ft range
Next neap tide
Thu 29/10
1.8ft range

Timeline

El Buey Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

El Buey is a serious big-wave spot that breaks about 700 m (half a mile) offshore, out in the deep water of the bay in front of El Laucho beach. It peaks over an uneven reef and sand bottom, and on the right day it can deliver rides of more than 200 yards. The wave breaks both left and right: the left is the hollower, higher-quality option, focusing south swells into booming barrels, while the right walls up on more westerly swell and holds the most size. On the biggest south swells it can reach 20 to 25 feet.

When It Works

El Buey draws swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), with southwest (SW) the best match. It's usable from 2.4 m / 8 ft to 7.6 m / 25 ft, and it only starts to break around eight feet, so it genuinely needs a big swell before it turns on. More southerly swell lights up the left into steep tubes, while anything with more west in it sends the right into long, steep walls. This is a winter break with moderately reliable form, and the biggest, most consistent waves generally land between May and July. When it's on, it produces real bombs.

Wind and Tide

Look for east (E) offshore wind to clean it up. The wave works through most of the tide, with a rising tide generally the better call.

Local Tips

This is expert-only territory, and a gun is the board for it. Because the lineup sits so far out over a large, shifting peak, expect long paddles, long hold-downs, and the need to dodge cleanup sets when it's big. It stays fairly quiet, with only a handful of people out most days and a bit more of a crowd in the peak May-to-July window. The lineup can feel reserved.

Access

Park and change at the spot on the main avenue in front of El Laucho beach, or use the parking lot to the left of Hotel Arica. The shortest way out is from the small cove by that parking lot, though on bigger days you may have to duck-dive overhead closeouts on the paddle out. A safer but longer option is to start from the small sand beach on the right and paddle across toward the wave. Either way, it's roughly half a mile from shore, so you'll feel the paddle.

Surf spots near El Buey

El Brazo
Arica and Parinacota, Chile
Reef break
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Tue 20
La Isla
Arica and Parinacota, Chile
Reef break
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Tue 20
El Buey
Arica and Parinacota, Chile
Reef break
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Tue 20
El Gringo
Arica and Parinacota, Chile
Reef break
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Tue 20
El Tojo Viejo
Arica and Parinacota, Chile
Reef break
Fri 16
Sat 17
Sun 18
Mon 19
Tue 20

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for El Buey?

El Buey is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally southwest (SW) around 2.4 m / 8 ft to 7.6 m / 25 ft, east (E) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot El Buey?

El Buey is a surf spot in Chinchorro, Arica and Parinacota, Chile.

What is the surf break like at El Buey?

El Buey is a left-and-right reef break over uneven reef and sand. Expect a fairly quiet crowd and a reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing El Buey?

The main surf season at El Buey is winter.

What surfing skill level is El Buey suitable for?

El Buey can suit expert surfers.

Is El Buey beginner friendly for surfing?

El Buey is better suited to expert surfers.

What surfboards work at El Buey?

Gun is a common choice at El Buey.

How consistent is the surf at El Buey?

El Buey has moderate surf consistency for Arica and Parinacota, Chile.

What surf spots are near El Buey?

Other nearby surf spots are El Gringo, El Tojo Viejo, La Isla, and El Brazo.

What swell direction works for surfing at El Buey?

El Buey can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); southwest (SW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at El Buey?

El Buey usually works with swell around 2.4 m / 8 ft to 7.6 m / 25 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at El Buey?

East (E) offshore wind is usually best at El Buey.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at El Buey?

East (E) is offshore at El Buey.

What tide works best for surfing at El Buey?

El Buey can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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