El Tránsito
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Managua
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
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El Tránsito surf guide

El Tránsito is a laid-back surf spot located in a remote fishing village on the central coast. This area is pretty chill, with some decent waves that often go untouched for weeks. It's not as crowded as more popular locations, which makes it great for surfers looking to escape the hustle and bustle and find themselves catching some waves in a more relaxed environment.

At El Tránsito, you can look forward to a nice long, easy left pointbreak that’s perfect for getting into the groove. On the other side of town, there’s a hollower right that adds some variety to your session. The optimal swell direction comes from the southwest, and you can catch good waves with swells coming in from the south and southwest. The spot handles swell sizes starting at 2ft (about 0.6 meters) really well. Waves break over an uneven reef, so be mindful when you're out there. The preferred wind comes from the northeast, which helps keep things clean, and you can enjoy riding waves during low, mid, or high tide. This spot is best suited for intermediate surfers looking to sharpen their skills.

If you're planning a trip to El Tránsito, keep in mind that the waves can stay unridden for a while, giving the place a unique feel. It’s a solid choice if you’re keen on exploring new spots away from the more known surfing crowds. Just grab your board and enjoy the vibe.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby El Tránsito

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El Tránsito
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Sat 13
Sun 14
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Playa Ausuchillas
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Hemorrhoids
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Reef break
Sat 13
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Chiggas
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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